Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#134
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#119
Pace61.4#313
Improvement+1.5#107

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#134
Improvement-0.3#184

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#133
Improvement+1.8#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2010 121   East Tennessee St. W 50-39 60%     1 - 0 +10.6 -0.9 +1.1
  Nov 17, 2010 76   @ Mississippi L 61-77 24%     1 - 1 -6.3 +4.1 +4.9
  Nov 25, 2010 94   Stanford W 55-52 40%     2 - 1 +7.7 +1.8 +3.0
  Nov 26, 2010 26   UNLV L 55-69 16%     2 - 2 -1.2 +6.1 +6.0
  Nov 28, 2010 69   Oklahoma St. L 49-66 30%     2 - 3 -9.5 +3.1 +3.5
  Dec 02, 2010 244   @ Eastern Kentucky W 74-72 64%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +0.5 -0.3 -1.1
  Dec 04, 2010 98   @ Morehead St. L 65-75 30%     3 - 4 1 - 1 -2.3 +3.9 +3.3
  Dec 11, 2010 271   @ Chattanooga W 73-65 71%     4 - 4 +4.4 -1.6 -1.6
  Dec 18, 2010 221   Western Kentucky W 69-60 79%     5 - 4 +2.7 -2.9 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2010 300   @ Tennessee Martin W 66-54 77%     6 - 4 2 - 1 +6.4 -2.7 -2.3
  Dec 30, 2010 341   SIU Edwardsville W 71-46 98%     7 - 4 +3.2 -10.8 -9.8
  Jan 06, 2011 240   Tennessee St. W 64-53 82%     8 - 4 3 - 1 +3.3 -3.8 -3.3
  Jan 08, 2011 147   Austin Peay L 64-66 65%     8 - 5 3 - 2 -3.8 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 13, 2011 284   @ Jacksonville St. W 71-62 74%     9 - 5 4 - 2 +4.5 -1.9 -2.2
  Jan 15, 2011 207   @ Tennessee Tech W 92-85 57%     10 - 5 5 - 2 +7.4 +1.0 -0.3
  Jan 20, 2011 298   Eastern Illinois L 60-61 90%     10 - 6 5 - 3 -12.9 -5.9 -6.0
  Jan 22, 2011 299   Southeast Missouri St. W 96-58 90%     11 - 6 6 - 3 +26.0 -5.6 -4.9
  Jan 26, 2011 341   @ SIU Edwardsville W 67-61 94%     12 - 6 -9.4 -7.8 -7.4
  Jan 29, 2011 300   Tennessee Martin W 92-75 90%     13 - 6 7 - 3 +5.0 -5.4 -5.9
  Feb 03, 2011 240   @ Tennessee St. W 74-65 63%     14 - 6 8 - 3 +7.7 -0.6 -0.3
  Feb 05, 2011 147   @ Austin Peay W 67-58 41%     15 - 6 9 - 3 +13.5 +2.2 +2.7
  Feb 07, 2011 298   @ Eastern Illinois W 66-53 77%     16 - 6 10 - 3 +7.4 -2.5 -2.4
  Feb 10, 2011 207   Tennessee Tech W 55-44 78%     17 - 6 11 - 3 +5.0 -3.7 -1.7
  Feb 12, 2011 284   Jacksonville St. W 60-59 88%     18 - 6 12 - 3 -9.9 -5.3 -5.5
  Feb 16, 2011 299   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 57-64 77%     18 - 7 12 - 4 -12.6 -3.1 -2.9
  Feb 19, 2011 184   Evansville W 72-47 73%     19 - 7 +20.7 -1.9 -1.1
  Feb 24, 2011 98   Morehead St. W 70-62 53%     20 - 7 13 - 4 +9.3 +0.7 +1.0
  Feb 26, 2011 244   Eastern Kentucky W 66-56 83%     21 - 7 14 - 4 +2.2 -3.8 -3.5
  Mar 04, 2011 207   Tennessee Tech L 59-64 69%     21 - 8 -7.8 -1.8 -1.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%